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Intensity of Hostilities in Ukraine Expected to Increase in Coming Weeks - Estonian Intelligence

Photo credit: ERR
Photo credit: ERR

russian troops are maintaining their operational momentum and initiative on the Luhansk and Donetsk fronts. Due to improved weather conditions and better terrain accessibility, the russian Armed Forces have increased the number of mechanized units. They have also begun to reorganize their forces along the entire front line

In the coming weeks, the intensity of hostilities may increase, as reported by the Intelligence Centre of the Estonian Defense Forces in its weekly report.

The russian Armed Forces continue terrorist bombings in border areas and conduct deep strikes towards major population centers, as noted in the summary. Over the past month, russia's use of precision-guided munitions has become noticeable. Active mining of territories is ongoing.

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It is noted that the significance for russia of glide bombs equipped with UMPK is evidenced by the fact that within 48 hours before the capture of Avdiivka, approximately 250 glide bombs were dropped on it.

Ukraine reportedly persists in its deep strikes on russian oil refineries, demonstrating its ability to hit targets in the deep rear. To date, Ukrainian activities have been systematic and creates conditions for the isolation of Crimea in the future, the Estonian intelligence noted.

The moment of hitting to one of the facilities on the territory of Alabuga by Ukrainian drone
The moment of hitting to one of the facilities on the territory of Alabuga by Ukrainian drone / Screenshot from the open source video

In the northern direction, the russian Armed Forces continue bombings, as well as sabotage activities. Active mining of territories is being conducted.

russian forces are exerting pressure along the Kupiansk-Makiivka-Siversk line on the Luhansk front, while continuing offensive actions near the village of Terny on the Makiivka front to seize control of the coastline along the Zherebets River. Despite maintaining the initiative, russian soldiers have not made significant progress.

Open source photo

No significant changes have been observed on the Avdiivka front, despite it remaining the focal point of russia's offensive efforts. However, it remains the main direction of the russian Armed Forces' offensive actions. Their advance to the west of the city of Bakhmut can be considered insignificant. There has been an escalation of pressure towards the settlement of Chasiv Yar, albeit with limited success. russian troops are exerting pressure to the west and southwest of Donetsk while seeking vulnerabilities in Ukrainian defenses.

In the area of the village of Robotyne, russia has eased the pressure.

Ukraine’s Troops Сonduct Successful Operation on russian-Occupied Left Bank of Dnipro River, Defense Express
Ukraine’s Troops Сonduct Successful Operation on russian-Occupied Left Bank of Dnipro River / Photo credit: the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

The Armed Forces of Ukraine also continue to maintain a foothold on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River, as noted in the Estonian intelligence center's report.

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