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​The Defense Intelligence of Ukraine: Everything in russia Is Prepared for a Large-Scale Mobilization, but They Are Unable to Declare it

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Russia is well-prepared for a large-scale mobilization wave / open source
Russia is well-prepared for a large-scale mobilization wave / open source

Russia is well-prepared for a large-scale mobilization wave

Vadim Skibitsky, a representative of Defense Intelligence of Ukraine, discussed the mobilization campaign within russia, the aggressor state, in an interview with Ukrainska Pravda, the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine reports.

Russia is well-prepared for a large-scale mobilization wave Defense Express The Defense Intelligence of Ukraine: Everything in russia Is Prepared for a Large-Scale Mobilization, but They Are Unable to Declare it
Russia is well-prepared for a large-scale mobilization wave / open source

Key points from Vadim Skibitsky’s comments:

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  • The mobilization process in russia has continued uninterrupted for over a year;
  • Since the start of the so-called massive mobilization in October 2022, more than 300,000 military personnel have been mobilized by russia;
  • Russia is conducting daily covert mobilization to replace losses suffered by its armed forces on Ukrainian territory and to form new units and formations;
  • Russia has recently initiated another autumn draft with the objective of transitioning all mobilized individuals into contract-based service. This process involves various methods, including the use of threats;
  • Despite these efforts, the overall number of russian armed forces has not significantly increased during this time;
  • Russia is well-prepared for a large-scale mobilization wave, having updated all lists, shifted to electronic records and enhanced legal requirements and penalties for avoiding military service or desertion in the russian Criminal Code;
  • The absence of an announcement regarding mass mobilization is also influenced by the upcoming russian presidential elections next spring, as mobilization is a complex process that impacts russia’s socio-political environment;
  • At the same time, mass mobilization exerts a significant strain on russia’s economy, as it calls upon its most capable population to work and contribute to industrial activities. Russia is likely taking this into consideration;
  • As of now, there is no evidence of the accumulation of powerful strike groups that would indicate preparations for mass mobilization of personnel in russia.
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