The full-scale invasion of the russian federation into Ukraine has shown that “the world turned out to be unprepared for a war of such intensity”, as stated by the Chief of the Defense Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Kyrylo Budanov.
He emphasizes that this will also be one of the conclusions “that all countries will definitely make afterwards”. These statements from the head of the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine were made in an interview with Ukrainska Pravda in the context of a response to a question about how long, in his estimation, the war in Ukraine can last.
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Kyrylo Budanov notes that from an economic standpoint, russia can afford to continue fighting until 2025 without any significant problems, and in the context of armaments and military equipment, for an additional year until 2026. However, he specifies that today, the pace of equipment recovery in russia is not high, so this timeframe may shift somewhat to the left.
“So, around 2025,” the head of the Defense Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense summarizes. Separately, Kyrylo Budanov assesses the human resource, stating that russia has enough of it for a long time. With the following remark, “But no matter what anyone says, if you evaluate our human resource as a whole, it’s also for the long haul. Our country is not that small.”
Kyrylo Budanov points out that russia is experiencing a shortage of ammunition and weaponry. Regarding russia’s cooperation with Iran and North Korea, he mentions that Ukraine, in turn, receives weaponry and other resources from countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom and so on.
“The cumulative costs of weaponry and ammunition are much higher than what can be produced, both for us and our allies, as well as for them and their allies,” Kyrylo Budanov notes, “Everyone will be trying to increase their arsenals.”
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