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russia's Osa SAM System Footage Suggests russia Is Depleting Its Stock of Surface-to-Air Missiles Amid Ukraine's Drone Surge

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russian Osa-AKM air-defense system with 9M33 missiles and likely 9M33M3 or 9M33M2 variants
russian Osa-AKM air-defense system with 9M33 missiles and likely 9M33M3 or 9M33M2 variants

russian forces have showcased a 9K33M3 Osa-AKM SAM system fitted with old missiles that lack transport-launch containers, raising questions about how this was achieved and what it indicates

russian military bloggers published footage of a combat-ready 9K33M3 Osa-AKM loaded with aging 9M33 missiles from the original 9K33 Osa instead of the standard 9M33M3 used on the Osa-AKM.

To understand the implications, it is worth recalling the system's modernization history. Serial production of the 9K33 Osa began in 1970. In 1975, the system was upgraded to the 9K33M2 Osa-AK, which introduced a redesigned launcher and increased the missile load from four to six.

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russian Osa-AKM air-defense system with 9M33 missiles and likely 9M33M3 or 9M33M2 variants
russian Osa-AKM air-defense system with 9M33 missiles and likely 9M33M3 or 9M33M2 variants

This upgrade also brought new 9M33M2 missiles that replaced the earlier 9M33s. These newer missiles were stored in transport-launch containers (TPCs) and required a different mounting interface.

A subsequent upgrade followed in 1980, when the system became the 9K33M3 Osa-AKM. This variant adopted improved 9M33M3 missiles equipped with a modernized proximity fuze and updated electronics, offering better performance against aerial targets, especially helicopters.

9K33 Osa system carrying four 9M33 missiles
9K33 Osa system carrying four 9M33 missiles

This brings us to the current development: russian forces have installed the much older 9M33 missiles—two generations behind and designed to be carried without a TPC—onto the Osa-AKM, which is not intended to use them.

To make this possible, they appear to have salvaged the original 9M33 mounting brackets from an old 9K33 Osa and bolted them directly onto the Osa-AKM launcher. This improvised modification likely required minimal software adjustments, if any.

Photographs show an old 9M33 mounted on the left launcher, while the right launcher still carries a missile in a TPC, meaning a 9M33M3 or 9M33M2.

This reintegration of legacy 9M33 missiles likely points to dwindling stocks of the newer variants. There is no publicly available information confirming ongoing production of the 9M33M3.

9M33 missile mounted on an Osa-AKM air-defense system
9M33 missile mounted on an Osa-AKM air-defense system

If production does continue, this adaptation suggests that Ukrainian drones are now so numerous that russia cannot produce interceptor missiles quickly enough to replenish stocks.

Although this configuration of the Osa is no longer in frontline service, russia should still possess substantial reserves of 9M33 missiles in usable condition. The naval Osa-M variant, deployed on several russian warships, also relies on them.

Ukrainian Osa system fitted with an R-73 missile
Ukrainian Osa system fitted with an R-73 missile / Photo credit: Come Back Alive Foundation

Recalling Ukraine's own experience with the Osa, it is worth noting that Ukrainian forces previously integrated R-73 air-to-air missiles onto the system—a far more complex modification, also driven by missile shortages, but significantly more technically demanding than the improvisation now seen on the russian side.

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