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​Evidence Suggests Iran Downed U.S. Fighter Jet, But Not F-35 as Claimed, Washington Hasn't Acknowledged the Loss

Just before a fighter jet was struck / Video screenshot
Just before a fighter jet was struck / Video screenshot

It is likely that Iran has downed a fighter jet for the first time since the start of Operation Epic Fury and is now claiming it was an F-35. What really happened, and why might both Iran and possibly the U.S. be lying about it

On the night of April 2–3, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) released a video showing a fighter jet struck by an anti-aircraft missile. Iran's claim that it shot down an F‑35 Lightning II is based on footage showing an aircraft being hit and continuing to fly, but the poor video quality makes it difficult to verify the exact type.

Immediately after a video showing the crash appeared online, the U.S. military command in the Middle East (CENTCOM) issued a denial of the shootdown, stating that all jets were safe. However, photos of the crash site of the unidentified aircraft surfaced by morning.

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One of the photos from the crash site shows part of the vertical tail fin with a fragment of a distinctive emblem. An F-35A Lightning II with the same emblem was immediately identified online. It belonged to the 48th Fighter Wing, which is based in Europe at an airbase in the United Kingdom.

Evidence Suggests Iran Downed U.S. Fighter Jet, But Not F-35 as Claimed, Washington Hasn't Acknowledged the Loss, Defense Express
The vertical tail fin of a downed aircraft bearing an emblem, initially identified as belonging to an F-35 / Photo from social media

In addition to the emblem on the tail, another crucial detail was visible: a white-red-white stripe. No F‑35 in this wing has a stripe like this.

Evidence Suggests Iran Downed U.S. Fighter Jet, But Not F-35 as Claimed, Washington Hasn't Acknowledged the Loss, Defense Express
An F-35A belonging to the 48th Fighter Wing / Photo credit: the U.S. DoW

Instead, the wing operates F‑15E Strike Eagle aircraft, which are also part of the 48th Fighter Wing's inventory.

Evidence Suggests Iran Downed U.S. Fighter Jet, But Not F-35 as Claimed, Washington Hasn't Acknowledged the Loss, Defense Express
An F-15E Strike Eagle belonging to the 48th Fighter Wing / Photo credit: the U.S. DoW

However, it should be noted that the authenticity of the published photos has not yet been confirmed. An important caveat is that the images may show debris from an F‑15 that was shot down in an earlier incident. For instance, these could be debris from one of the F-15E Strike Eagles shot down in a friendly fire incident in early March, when a Kuwaiti F/A-18 Hornet shot down three of them at once.

Evidence Suggests Iran Downed U.S. Fighter Jet, But Not F-35 as Claimed, Washington Hasn't Acknowledged the Loss, Defense Express
Photos of the wreckage of the downed fighter jet / Photos from social media

Should reports of an additional F‑15 being shot down be verified, it would represent the fourth loss of this fighter type in Operation Epic Fury. This would create a situation where CENTCOM is denying that one of its fighter jets was shot down, while the Iranians are falsely claiming it was a more valuable target—the F‑35.

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