Belarus to Close Borders, Convene “Militia”. Is It an Offensive Preparation Or Simply Distraction Moves? (Analysis)

Belarusian military exercises / Open source photo
Belarusian military exercises / Open source photo

The 1,000-kilometer border with Belarus requires Ukraine to keep its forces under cover to prevent possible invasion

News from Belarus keep flowing, which might be a sign of active combat preparation against Ukraine. In particular, since May 4, the Belarusian army has been conducting military exercises. At the same time they have started to remove the armament from storage bases. Prior to that, all the elements of warfare, which are already demonstrated by the russian army in Ukraine, were worked out, as well as the deployment of local territorial defense.

Belarus to Close Borders, Convenes “Militia”. Is It an Offensive Preparation Or Simply Distraction Moves? (Analysis), Defense Express, war in Ukraine, Russian-Ukrainian war
The column of Belarusian armored personnel carriers / Open source photo

On May 26, the self-proclaimed President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, issued an order establishing an operational command on the border with russia. And the next day he ordered to create a "people's militia" to increase the number of troops.

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On the same day, May 27, it was announced that the Border Committee of Belarus closes possibility to stay for citizens in the border zone of three districts in the Gomel region throughout the summer from June 1 to August 31. These areas stretch along the Exclusion Zone and the border with Ukraine along the Dnipro river to the settlement of Lyubech and 45-50 km from Chernihiv.

Belarus to Close Borders, Convenes “Militia”. Is It an Offensive Preparation Or Simply Distraction Moves? (Analysis), Defense Express, war in Ukraine, Russian-Ukrainian war
The map of Belarus. Temporarily restricted area to visit (colored yellow) / Picture credit: gpk.gov.by

At the same time, in Belarussian Telegram channel MotolkoHelp, which informs about the movement of Russian troops, said that in Minsk they began to notice "men of athletic appearance" from the Russian Federation in camouflage, who are actively settling in hostels and apartments. This kind of personnel deployment is typical of the so-called "private military companies", namely a variety of "Wagner" servicemen, who are used by russia for "the dirtiest work".

This coincides with a large number of individual messages, which in the complex look quite threatening. Defense Express reminds that the possible goal of all these actions is the Kremlin's attempt not to allow Ukraine to withdraw its forces from the 1,000-kilometer border with Belarus.

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