During a recent parade, Iran showcased the Shahed-136B kamikaze drone for the first time. As its designation suggests, this is a significant upgrade from the base Shahed-136, featuring not only an increase in size but also changes to its configuration.
Reports indicate that this UAV has a claimed flight range of up to 4,000 kilometers and a warhead weight of 50 kilograms. However, other important details, such as flight speed, launch weight, and type of power plant, have not yet been disclosed.
Read more: Ukrainian Forces Successfully Shoot Down russian Shahed Drone with ZU-23-2 (Video)
In this context, the question arises whether the russians can use the upgraded Shahed-138B to strike Ukraine. Moreover, it is relatively straightforward to calculate that the claimed range of up to 4,000 kilometers could allow for a flight duration of over 10 hours, and consequently, a prolonged loitering over our country's territory with the aim of exhausting air defense systems.
However, we face the following situation. On one hand, no options should be dismissed, even if they currently seem purely hypothetical. On the other hand, it is crucial to note that Iran has unveiled the Shahed-136B for the first time, leaving the status of this project uncertain—it's unclear whether this aircraft is ready for serial production or if it has yet to undergo flight testing.
Moreover, we find ourselves in a rather unique situation where Iran transferred Fath-360 missiles to russia without launchers. This could indicate that Tehran sought to demonstrate its willingness to negotiate with the West. In this context, the hypothetical "transfer" of the Shahed-138B to russian hands might also emerge as a distinct topic for negotiations.
At the same time, we should note that the russians are trying to "upgrade" their existing Shaheds for strikes on Ukraine, likely without relying on external supplies from Iran.
For example, a report from the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine dated September 16, 2024, revealed that its fighters shot down a Shahed in Sumy Oblast using small arms fire, and it fell without detonating. The accompanying photos indicate that this UAV features an extended nose, which may suggest an increased warhead mass.
While other sources have not yet shown images of russian Shaheds with extended noses, it's important to highlight that the enemy is actively working to enhance the capabilities of its long-range kamikaze drones.
Read more: Iran Handed Fath-360 Missiles to russia Without Launchers: Will That Be an Issue For Their Usage?