The average daily russian casualties (killed and wounded) in Ukraine throughout May and June 2024, increased to conflict highs of 1262 and 1163 respectively. In total russia likely lost (killed and wounded) in excess of 70,000 personnel over the past two months, according to the UK Defense Intelligence.
The uptick in losses reflects russia’s opening of the new front in the Kharkiv region, while maintaining the same rate of offensive operations along the reminder of the front. Although this new approach has increased the pressure on the frontline, an effective Ukrainian defense and a lack of russian training reduces russia’s ability to exploit any tactical successes, despite attempting to stretch the frontline further.
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Russia’s casualty rate will likely continue to average above 1,000 a day over the next two months as russia continues to try to overmatch Ukrainian positions with mass.
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