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​Tensions on the Korean Peninsula Are Growing: Why North Korea’s Agreement with russia Is Key

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​Tensions on the Korean Peninsula Are Growing: Why North Korea’s Agreement with russia Is Key

The sequence of events in Pyongyang, Moscow, and Beijing resembles the last preparations for war

Everything indicates that the Korean Peninsula, and the entire world, is approaching the resumption of hostilities between the DPRK and South Korea. We are talking about resumption, because 71 years ago only a truce was signed.

In particular, the DPRK fulfilled its promise and blew up all roads to South Korea. Although it may seem illogical for a country that is about to attack, but Pyongyang has a very specific plan. Moreover, there is a fairly clear sequence of actions.

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Earlier, Pyongyang announced that it wanted to proclaim new boundaries of its maritime border, which would run to the south. Later the DPRK reported that South Korean UAVs had allegedly violated its airspace and dropped leaflets, and that another such incident would lead to catastrophic consequences. Against this backdrop, as artillery units near the demilitarized zone were put on alert while roads were blown up.

In addition, Kim Jong Un held a "meeting on defense and security affairs" with the entire military command chain, including the chiefs of the General Staff.

Tensions on the Korean Peninsula Are Growing: Why North Korea’s Agreement with russia Is Key, Defense Express

The fact that Seoul takes the threat level quite seriously is proved by the fact that the the Armed Forces of South Korea are demonstrating their strength.

For instance, for the first time in 7 years, the Taurus cruise missile was demonstrated in action as well as the Hyunmoo-V the most powerful ballistic missile in the world with 8 tons of warhead was paraded. South Korea's Minister of Defense has publicly stated that the Armed Forces are ready to "defend the country with blood."

At the same time, another aspect may be key for Pyongyang. We are talking about agreement with russia. It was signed on June 19, but has not yet entered into force because it has not been ratified. On Monday October 14, it was submitted to the russian parliament for this purpose. How long it will take to consider it depends solely on Putin's team.

In the Article 4 of this agreement it is stated that if one of the parties to the treaty is attacked, the other "shall provide military and other assistance by all means at its disposal." In other words, we are talking about a military alliance between two nuclear dictators with armies of 1.2 and 1.5 million people.

Tensions on the Korean Peninsula Are Growing: Why North Korea’s Agreement with russia Is Key, Defense Express

"In the event that either Party is subjected to an armed attack by a State or several States and thus finds itself in a state of war, the other Party shall immediately provide military and other assistance by all means at its disposal in accordance with Article 51 of the UN Charter and in accordance with the laws of the russian federation and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea."

It should be noted that the rather unexpected visit of the Minister of Defense of the russian federation Andrey Belousov to Beijing took place on October 14. The real content of the meeting was covered by official events. Following the meeting, the russian side clained that russia and China have "common views, a common assessment of the situation and a common understanding of what needs to be done together." In current events, this may mean "synchronizing the clocks" in relation to Beijing's plans for Taiwan, around which military exercises are taking place again.

Earlier Defense Express reported russian forces had integrated North Korean personnel into a new battalion, likely destined for operations near Sudzha and Kursk.

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