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​Ukraine’s Intelligence States Nearly 1,000 russian Troops Deployed in belarus As Well As No Signs russia to Use Nuclear Weapons in Near Future

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Latest missile strikes “large-scale provocation” by Russia to draw Belarus into war
Latest missile strikes “large-scale provocation” by Russia to draw Belarus into war

So far, there are no signs indicating that russia will use ts nuclear weapons in the near future. However, such a threat remains in place as well as a the threat of missile strikes coming from the territory of belarus

That’s according to Vadym Skibitskyi, the spokesperson of the Defense Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, who spoke with RBC-Ukraine, Ukrinform reports.

"There are no signs that he (Vladimir Putin - ed.) will use such a weapon tomorrow. But there are constant drills being held - defined, scheduled trainings for the deployment of nuclear weapons, transfer of warheads, and preparation of nuclear weapons carriers for use," Skibitsky said spiking on a posability of russia to use nuclear weapons.

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Tu-22M3 bombers are usually equipped with Kh-22 missiles. These aircraft has been repeatedly reported to carry out air raids in Ukraine / Photo credit: Defense View

Apart from standard carriers of these weapons – Tu-22s, Tu-95s, and Tu-160s – Kalibr missiles can also be armed with a tactical nuclear warhead. Meanwhile, Kalibr carriers have been deployed in the Black Sea, Skibitskyi recalls.

"That is, such a threat remains and we realize it," Skibitskyi concluded.

Deputy head of the Defense intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Vadym Skybytsky, Defense Express
Deputy head of the Defense intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Vadym Skybytsky

He also told on a threat for Ukraine from the territory of neighboring belarus.

“The territory of belarus poses a threat to Ukraine, and today it is primarily a threat of missile strikes, both from the air and from the surface,” Skibitskyi said, adding that russia has placed an Iskander missile division and three divisions of S-400 and S-300 launchers in belarus.

He noted that the main task of these air defense systems is to protect the airspace, so when russian Tu-22 strategic bombers enter the belarus airspace, the S-400s provide cover for these aircraft.

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According to Skibitskyi, another purpose of deploying these air defense systems is to strike surfrace targets across Ukraine as the russians have missiles converted to "surface-to-surface" type. "Their accuracy is low, but they can inflict damage to personnel and the civilian population. The combat part of these missiles contains approximately 6,000 small fragments.

“They pose a threat to any object in their path," said the intelligence spox.

Meanwhile, the Tu-22M3 bombers carry air-launched cruise missiles, including the X-22s.

As for the ground component of russian troops in belarus, Skibitskyi notes its insufficient numbers.

russian bomber Tu-160 in the sky of Belarus, Defense Express
russian bomber Tu-160 in the sky of Belarus

Currently, the intelligence sees individual units of special operations forces, observing no further deployment of forces to belarus or formation of any offensive groups. Along the borders, it’s only the belarusian battalions that have been deployed, conducting training, equipping positions, and serving on a rotational basis.

"If we talk about the russians, then our estimates say there’s currently approximately 1,000 military personnel on the territory of belarus. Two communications units are also deployed there permanently. Thus, the threat of a russian land invasion from the territory of belarus is now highly unlikely. Its likelihood will grow if a powerful land component starts to deploy there," Skibitskyi said.

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As Defense Express reported, Intelligence bodies of Ukraine and Great Britain as well as American think-tanks speak of a turning point in russian-Ukrainian war, an exhaustion of russia's military capabilities to expand expansion, while Ukraine is becoming stronger.

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