#

Patriot Price for Denmark Plummeted From $8.5B, But U.S. Still Lost Deal

401
Patriot launch / Photo credit: Lockheed Martin
Patriot launch / Photo credit: Lockheed Martin

Sometimes cost is key: Denmark may have chosen SAMP/T NG over Patriot due to the US system's high price tag

Recently, it became clear that Denmark has finally chosen which air defense missile system it wants for its military, and the winner turned out to be the European SAMP/T NG.

The Danes plan to order at least four fire units, while their overall air defense upgrade is set to cost €7.77 billion, including the purchase of short- and medium-range systems, with a total of 32 units expected.

Read more: Ukraine Fields NATO-Certified FC.K Jamming Systems to Take Down russian Drones
Patriot air defense system, Patriot Price for Denmark Plummeted From $8.5B, But U.S. Still Lost Deal
Patriot air defense system / Open-source photo

It’s worth noting that the SAMP/T NG won the duel against its American rival, the Patriot system, as Copenhagen had to choose between the two. Cost appears to have played a key role, and there's an interesting nuance worth discussing.

Denmark planned to spend just under $8 billion on its entire air defense program, while at the end of August, the DSCA announced that the U.S. State Department approved the sale of two Patriot batteries three launchers each, plus associated equipment and fewer than 60 missiles for a staggering $8.5 billion.

As Defense Express notes, DSCA pricing usually reflects the maximum estimated cost and can be lower in practice. However, such a high price may have discouraged the Danes from choosing the U.S. system.

The U.S. subsequently reduced the potential deals price by more than 2.5 times. The DSCA notice was updated with the note with an estimated sale price of up to $3.2 billion, which is the version currently on the official DSCA page:

Left – version of the notice from September 3, right – updated notice as of September 14, 18:20, Patriot Price for Denmark Plummeted From $8.5B, But U.S. Still Lost Deal
Left – version of the notice from September 3, right – updated notice as of September 14, 18:20 / Photo credit: Screenshot from Defense Security Cooperation Agency

Several interpretations are possible ranging from a simple error to an attempt to offer Denmark a more favorable Patriot price. Notably, the wording an estimated sale price is unusual for DSCA announcements, making the latter scenario the most likely.

Read more: Where russia's Iskander Ballistic Missile from Kaliningrad Can Reach: Countries and Capitals within Strike Range