Vietnam is gearing up for Vietnam Defense Expo 2024, set to take place from December 19 to 22. The event will showcase military technologies and attract global defense industry leaders. However, attention is already being drawn to the limited scope of russia’s participation.
Russia’s state arms exporter, Rosoboronexport, will present only three models at the exhibition: the Typhoon-K wheeled armored vehicle equipped with the Kornet anti-tank missile system, the Rubezh-ME coastal missile system, and the BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicle fitted with additional protective grilles.
This restrained lineup has sparked speculation about Moscow’s intentions, with some suggesting that russia hopes Vietnam might purchase the BMP-3 vehicles to replace its aging Soviet-era fleet, including nearly 300 PT-76 light tanks still in service.
Despite potential relevance to Vietnam’s military, it remains uncertain whether the country is willing to invest in new russian weaponry. Historical challenges in russian-Vietnamese defense cooperation have left a sour taste. Notable examples include Vietnam’s decision to modernize its Khrushchev-era T-54 and T-55 tanks with Israel in 2022 instead of purchasing russian T-90S tanks. High costs and geopolitical considerations, particularly after russia’s invasion of Ukraine, further strained relations.
Russia’s earlier failures to secure deals in Vietnam’s defense market, such as the unsuccessful promotion of the Sarma multiple-launch rocket system, have also diminished its influence. While analysts speculated as late as 2023 that russia could sell advanced systems like the S-400 missile defense system or Su-57 fighter jets, these expectations now seem increasingly unrealistic.
Vietnam’s shift away from russian arms reflects broader strategic priorities, including maintaining strong ties with the United States and diversifying its defense partnerships. As Vietnam Defense Expo 2024 approaches, it remains to be seen whether russia’s modest presence will yield any tangible results or merely highlight its waning influence in a once-traditional market.
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