The Defense Intelligence of Ukraine (DIU) has revealed data on the production volumes of key weapons and equipment in the russian federation. The figures, covering aircraft, tanks, armored vehicles, artillery, and missiles, were presented by DIU Deputy Chief Vadym Skibitskyi in an interview with Ukrinform. According to him, russia's production plans for 2025 include:
- Aviation: 57 tactical aircraft — Su-57, Su-35, and Su-30 fighters, as well as Su-34 bombers.
- Armored vehicles: about 250 new T-90M tanks and around 1,100 other AFVs, including newly built BMP-3 and BTR-82A.
- Artillery systems: 365 new units of various types.
- Long-range missiles: about 2,500 units of all types.
For comparison, DIU estimated in 2024 that russia was producing 130–150 long-range missiles per month, or up to 1,800 per year.
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It is important to note that the reported numbers cover only newly produced equipment and exclude repairs, modernization, or restoration of older or damaged systems.
Another focus of russian plans is large-scale "droneization" of the battlefield. The goal is to increase the share of unmanned and uncrewed systems to 40% of total assets in combat. However, the russians won't give up on more traditional weapons, they only aim to supplement them with more drones.
To support these ambitions, russia is expanding its military-industrial complex by building new facilities 1,500–2,000 km from the Ukrainian border. Enterprises located closer than that are not being relocated, even though around 25% of the defense industry remains within 250–500 km of the frontline.
At the same time, russia is attempting to establish anti-drone defenses for its rear areas by copying Ukrainian solutions. According to DIU, russians have seven anti-aircraft drone systems planned for testing this September, including both quadcopter and fixed-wing types.
Overall, in part or in general, these efforts indicate a broader vector: preparing the russian federation for "potential conflict with NATO countries" by 2030, the DIU vice-commander warns. In particular, Moscow is reorienting its missile program toward developing longer-range, more accurate weapons with more powerful warheads.
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