Russian "Carousels" Near Ukraine’s Border And the Number of Iranian Shahed Left In russia

Illustrative photo from open sources
Illustrative photo from open sources

The Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine (HUR MOU) spoke about the reality of the threat of russia’s attack from Belarus, how many Iranian kamikaze drones are expected in russia, and what is the status of the agreement on ballistic missiles

Constant reports that a full-scale offensive will begin from Belarus "in some days" is just one of the many elements of disinformation that the enemy constantly uses to divert the resources of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Despite the fact that this possibility still exists, the enemy uses special methods in order to inflame the situation and actively misinform, as the head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense Kyrylo Budanov said in an interview with The New York Times.

Read more: 304 Days of russia-Ukraine War – russian Casualties In Ukraine
Illustrative photo of Belarusian servicemen from open sources

"While the threat of a renewed Russian invasion from Ukraine’s northern border with Belarus is not imminent, it still cannot be ruled out. It would be wrong to discount this possibility, but also wrong to say we have any data confirming it exists," Kyrylo Budanov said.

In particular, according to the HUR MOU, none of the russian military groups are lined up in combat formations, the camps themselves are filled with "partially mobilized" people who, after completing training, go to the front, and there is also a shortage of armored vehicles.

But the russian federation uses a special "carousel" tactic in order to make its intentions appear. For example, russians are loaded into trains headed for the Belarusian-Ukrainian border. Upon arrival, they do not unload, and after standing for half a day, they go in the opposite direction. By the way, this tactic was used in the USSR during the Second World War.

russia's MT-LB's / Illustrative photo from open sources

Budanov also mentioned the number of Shahed kamikaze drones that russia ordered from Iran. Defense Express notes that in addition to Shahed-136, its previous version (Shahed-131) was also used.

In total, the Kremlin ordered 1,700 units, of them 540 have already been used as of the second half of December. The drones themselves arrive in russia in batches, as previously reported, the last of which was 250 units.

At the same time, the cost of these drones for Iran, according to the HUR MOU, turned out to be even lower than expected. If previously there were unofficial estimates of $20,000 to $50,000, then Budanov said that its real cost is only $7,000.

As for Iranian ballistic missiles, according to the HUR MOU, an agreement on their purchase by the Kremlin has not yet been concluded. Tehran is afraid of the world's reaction, but Moscow has already offered own defense-industrial decisions as a payment for the Iranian defense-industrial complex.

Read more: The State Emergency Service of Ukraine Named the Amount of Munitions Defused During 10 Months of War With russia