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​The UK Defense Intelligence: russia Continues Offensive in the East of Ukraine, Focuses on Avdiivka

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Illustrative photo / Photo credit: The Ukrainian Ground Forces
Illustrative photo / Photo credit: The Ukrainian Ground Forces

Focus on Avdiivka reveals russia’s strategic objective to capture Donetsk and Luhansk regions

Russia continues its offensive across multiple axes, in line with its strategic objective to capture the Donetsk an Luhansk regions. Russian forces have seized the hamlets of Krokhmalne, Kharkiv on January 21, 2024 and Vesele, near Bakhmut on January 18, 2024; however, these are strategically insignificant. Vesele had a pre-war population of 102 and Krokhmalne, 45. This represents a continuation of russia’s minor incremental gains whilst Ukraine focuses on active defense, the UK Defense Intelligence reports.

The assessed main priority for russian forces is the city of Avdiivka. The russians are mounting a three-pronged attack to encircle the city from the south and north, and also fighting on the outskirts of the eastern quarter of Avdiivka city itself. Russian forces have suffered heavy personnel and armoured vehicle losses, frequently caused by Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicle munitions. Russian forces are reportedly attempting to bypass Ukrainian fortifications by entering the city edges via service tunnels; this is a method of infiltration they have been attempting since October 2023.

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Avdiivka, Donetsk region Defense Express The UK Defense Intelligence: russia Continues Offensive in the East of Ukraine, Focuses on Avdiivka
Avdiivka, Donetsk region / screenshot from DeepStateMap

Ukrainian counter-attacks are holding russian forces from progressing further within the city. As the main supply route remains intact, and Ukrainian forces make local counter-attacks, Avdiivka is likely to remain in Ukrainian control over the coming weeks.

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