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​How Many Days Will it Take the russians to Produce One Kh-101 Missile for a New Attack on Ukraine

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Russia’s Tu-95MS with Kh-101 missiles / photo from open sources
Russia’s Tu-95MS with Kh-101 missiles / photo from open sources

Journalists analyze what the numbers and codes found on the downed cruise missiles can indicate

The authors of the Long War Journal portal decided to summarize all the available information regarding the pace and potential of Russia to produce new long-range cruise missiles of the X-101 type. All the more so because there is a suitable reason for reflection: at the end of November 2022, the Minister of Defense of Ukraine Oleksiy Reznikov announced data on the production of 120 X-101 missiles after the invasion of the Russian Federation, but at the beginning of December, the representative of the Defense Intelligence of the Defense Ministry of Ukraine Skibitskyi spoke about the production of 240 X-101 missiles after the start of the Kremlin's invasion of Ukraine.

Launch of a russian Kh-101 missile from a strategic bomber, How Many Days Will it Take the russians to Produce One Kh-101 Missile for a New Attack on Ukraine, Defense Express
Launch of a russian Kh-101 missile from a strategic bomber / Illustrative photo from open sources

In view of this, it is logical to assume that the Russians were able to force the production of new missiles for strikes on Ukraine by the end of the current year. Moreover, the authors of the portal recalled that at the end of March 2022, the management of the russian "ODK-Saturn" enterprise announced their intention to hire 500 additional workers for the production of engines for the X-101 and other missiles, which in itself is preparation for the increase in production.

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But still, additional work with open data sources is needed. And here the authors of the Long War Journal worked with the numbers and codes on the downed cruise missiles of the russians, which were managed to be monitored in social networks and other sources.

Production capacity of the Russian ODK-Saturn enterprise, How Many Days Will it Take the russians to Produce One Kh-101 Missile for a New Attack on Ukraine, Defense Express
Production capacity of the Russian "ODK-Saturn" enterprise / Illustrative photo from open sources

Analyzing the available figures, the authors of the Long War Journal came to the following conclusions. In the period from the 2nd quarter of 2018 to November 23, 2022, the russian defense industry produced no less than 402 units of the Kh-101, with an average rate of 0.24 missiles per day (that is, 1 cruise missile in 4 days). At the same time, between the 2nd and 3rd quarter of 2022, the Russians produced at least 52 missiles of the X-101 type, and at the same time, the average production rate was 0.36 missiles per day (that is, 1 cruise missile in 3 days).

The process of hanging the X-101 in the bomb bay of the russia’s Tu-160, How Many Days Will it Take the russians to Produce One Kh-101 Missile for a New Attack on Ukraine, Defense Express
The process of hanging the X-101 in the bomb bay of the russia’s Tu-160 / Illustrative photo from open sources

Journalists of the portal share the conclusion that by the end of 2022, the russian federation could really force the production of cruise missiles for new strikes on Ukraine, especially if you take into account the data on the growth of illegal imports of electronics for military purposes, which Reuters cited in its recent publication. But they also assume that their estimates may be inaccurate, due to the incompleteness of the available data on the rate of production of new cruise missiles by the Russian industry and the standards of missile consumption, which the russian Armed Forces actually adhere to in the war against Ukraine.

X-101 launch from Rashist Tu-95MS, How Many Days Will it Take the russians to Produce One Kh-101 Missile for a New Attack on Ukraine, Defense Express
X-101 launch from Rashist Tu-95MS / Illustrative photo of pre-war times

Find here Estimating Russia’s Kh-101 Production Capacity by Long War Journal.

As Defense Express reported,Terrorrussia Launched Another Massive Missile Attack on Ukraine, Defenders of the Country Shoot Down 60 of 76 Russian Missiles.

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