This is reported by the Business Insider portal.
According to the analysis by German intelligence services, russia is preparing for a large-scale conflict with the West.
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This is indicated by the reorganization of the russian army, troop movements, and missile placement in the western part of the country, as well as the increase in russian arms production.
The latest could lead to russia doubling its military strength over the next five years compared to the present day, especially in conventional weapons, according to a secret report.
The report states that it is "no longer possible to rule out" that russia may launch an attack on NATO territory "from 2026 onwards," for example, in Baltic States or Finland. As noted by the Business Insider, German services have not made such statements publicly before.
The authors of the publication also add that NATO headquarters shares concerns about the growing military capabilities of russia and further confrontation, although they do not necessarily believe it will lead to war in the future.
The publication quotes an assessment by American intelligence services, who "in the medium term" do not see the danger of a russian attack on NATO and believe that it will take russian armed forces another five to eight years to restore the military capabilities they had before invading Ukraine.
It should be noted that over the past few weeks, several NATO European countries have already been warning about the risk of russian aggression in the near future. For example, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius stated in January that the Alliance should prepare for a russian attack on a NATO country within 5-8 years.
French President Emmanuel Macron has also warned of the risk of a russian attack in the coming years. According to him, European leaders should prepare for such a scenario.
Defense Express reported earlier that russia has a lower threshold for using nuclear weapons. According to the Financial Times report, “if the desired result can’t be achieved through conventional means” than russian officials have ever publicly admitted.
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