The counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kherson Oblast, which began in early October, creates a serious dilemma for the russian occupation army. This is stated in another report of British intelligence.
Thus, it is noted that Ukraine’s military managed to advance the front line by about 20 km, advancing along the eastern bank of the Ingulets River and the western bank of the Dnipro.
Read more: 225 days of the war russian casualties in Ukraine
During the offensive, russian forces tried not to engage in combat with the Armed Forces of Ukraine and mostly retreated (this conclusion can be drawn, in particular, from the amount of equipment that the russian army throws on the fields of Kherson Oblast).
At the same time, the russian command is likely to be thinking about what to do with the threat in the area of Nova Kakhovka, since the damaged crossing of the Dnipro in this part remains one of the few available routes for both reinforcements and the evacuation of wounded and damaged equipment.
Therefore, the russian army now has a dilemma: either to withdraw own forces across the or to stay and try to protect the occupied western part.
Intelligence also notes the following: currently the russian federation has sent a significant part of its undermanned airborne units to defend Kherson. After all, in order to strengthen the front in this area, the russian command will probably deploy mobilized reserves there.
Read more: An Advanced Radio Communication Device on American Processors Found in the Shahed-136